Good product? Are you your own customer? Is it really "new" and "innovative" ? Learn as much as you can, then. You never know when a credible challenger appears. You better have all the experience to jump ship.
I say milk them for what they are worth but be careful not to get milked yourself.
Either you're underestimating them or someone else built it or...?
On the contrary. You know exactly what to do. Read what you wrote. If you go to work there you will hate yourself a little bit every day.
* Better being subjective based on the direction you want your career to go
So it's subscriptions management app, cool. It won't be so trivial to deduce the subscriptions from the users mailbox, wonder how you'll do that.
Not many, but the group itself isn't very active, I think language communities (IRC channels? Mailing lists? Meetups?) might bring more results.
"8. Self aware, including weaknesses."
Predictably Irrational (Dan Ariely, he has some TED talks as well)http://www.amazon.com/Predictably-Irrational-Revised-Expande...
Influence, the Science of Persuasion (Robert Cialdini)http://www.amazon.com/Influence-ebook/dp/B002BD2UUC
1. Yes, it is extremely tough to make money selling iOS apps. App Store creates power law dynamics where Top 10 apps make as much money as the rest of the apps combined. If you're in Top 10 then congrats, but most likely you won't be. Median App Store revenue is few hundred dollars per month. iOS programmers are in demand today. It's much easier (and in most cases more profitable) to sell your iOS expertise for $100/hr than make apps yourself.
2. People make money both in games and apps. So can you.
3. There is not such thing as too much marketing. Try every marketing technique that you can think of and can afford.
At the same time, no amount of marketing can rescue a bad app so you need to track conversion rates of your marketing efforts.
4. Free with ads vs. paid depends on your app. If you believe people will pay than go paid. If you don't, then free with ads but you have to be realistic: ad based business requires lots of volume so if your app is not in the "useful for lots of people" category, ads will not make you rich.
On the marketing side, the key for the stuff I work on is that the app is about 10% of the project, the rest is distribution. So I'd think about apps that can spread via twitter, facebook, email, etc, and then build a simple app around that. Make the app simple, and really focus on the "marketing" side of things. "Marketing" in quotes because it is really still development though.
Stupid party trick.
Inevitable they forget the middle part and we end up with webpages filled with timestamps.
I learned that you should go niche, but find a niche with a problem that customers KNOW they have. Otherwise you have to educate them before even having the chance so closing a sale, which is too expensive.
I'm backing up and making simpler tools for the domain, this one could become an advanced feature for big enterprise.
Then Google disabled my Adsense account because of "invalid click activity", which also meant my Admob account was gone, since they're now linked. I moved to a combination of other ad networks, but ad revenue was slashed to a quarter of its former glory. Appeals to Google were fruitless, and to this day I have no idea why exactly I was banned.
For my next app, I'll probably avoid the "free with ads" model.
We haven't "failed" yet. But we're dying slowly. No one cares for Instimage, and there's no money backing it up.
No Investors, no angels, just a bootstrap and no boot.
Reminds me of companies that call themselves "startups" for 10 years...
Shouldn't one start-up then get moving?
But as you say online presence can often add colour to a candidates profile.
And you'll surely miss many great minds just because their text was not that touchy...Please also don't overemphasize on online activity, be it blogs, github or stackoverflow. Again, you'll miss many great minds.
After that, I don't send CVs anymore. I write a text (like a blog post) about what I know, what I did, how I did, what I enjoy, etc. Like a letter talking about myself. It worked perfectly everytime. I know recruiters may find boring to read a lot of them, but that's what I do now.
If it turns out you don't have permission to do that, because the person presenting that card number is not the owner of the card, you'll lose that money, pay a fee, and your ability to accept other cards will be at risk.
AVS and CVC checks are tools to help you decide what payments you want to accept or reject. They're inputs for your fraud scoring algorithm. With some processors, you also get a discount for making use of them, as the processor and card network would both prefer not to have to drop you for getting too many chargebacks.
Since your transaction fees are based partially on your dispute rates not collecting this data could move you from 3% to 5 or even 7%.
Imagine giving an extra 2% of your Gross to fees. So people collect more to limit fraud.
It'll run it's course for a couple of years and will change to something else. High contrast will suddenly be cool again. The self-aware among the designers and creators will shrug and follow the next trend with a resigned attitude. The less self-aware ones will teach themselves to see the beauty in the new system. There will be long, impassioned blog posts about why low-contrast was wrong - all wrong. It was all done before the person writing the blog post had been out of college so of course s/he was not responsible for any of it... and so goes the circle of life.
However, I don't think the example you cited is a particularly egregious example of lack of contrast. It's not ideal, but it's much better than the gray on light gray body text I've seen before.
There's actually a formula you can measure this.
The color code of #626566 on a background of #FFF yields a ratio of about 5.9 to 1.
My theory is that they're all blindly copying Apple. The thing is, Apple does that for occasional highlighting (ad copy, e.g.), not for gigantic blocks of text. Any long-form text on Apple's site is in black (or near-black) text on white (or near-white) background.
I sure wish they'd stop doing this. Do they not actually want people to read their blogs (or whatever)?
Actually, I think one trend that we'll see soon is standard color palettes that will serve as signals or templates for user flows.
Fight the power: http://contrastrebellion.com/
if your task is important you pay close attention and so rather deep contrast and separation. also the more on the screen the better.
if you are just dicking around you want low contrast and lots and lots of white space.
so, ignore all the trend talk. real reason is that the internet is finally embracing the so talked short attention span and frivolity.
btw, you study all that in the few psychology, marketing and semiotics classes in ... oh, designers classes today have none because they are not the old and outdated industrial design of yesterday. now they have photoshop and flash. and the final thesis can be a website.
Since simonswords82 was so generous with details about his business, I'll do the same. About 2% of the visitors to the site sign up for the free trial. That seems poor, although I don't have a lot of insight as to what the number "should" be. I do require a credit card in order to sign up for the trial. The trial automatically converts to a subscription after seven days.
About 70% of trial subscribers convert to a paid subscription. This seems pretty good to me, although I'd of course be happier if it was higher. Once they've subscribed, I lose about 25% of subscribers in the first month, and then the number drops asymptotically down to about 5% (of the initial total) per month. I'm reasonably happy with this as well. It's poor by the standards of a SaaS, where a churn rate of 1-2% is doable, but I think it's pretty good for a content site.
For now I'm focusing on A/B testing various ideas for improving conversion. It takes less effort and potentially has longer-term impact. So far, I've improved the subscribe page  by adding testimonials and a better design. Next, I'll probably provide more opportunities for people to preview the series without signing up, as well as more obvious calls to action on the video pages. I also have some other plans in the works that I can't talk about yet. :-)
 My book is The Art of Agile Development. It's been out for over five years now, so it's nice to still be getting royalties from it.
 I talked about my experiences launching and marketing the screencast here: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=6038226
Sep 3, 2012: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=4467603
Sep 4, 2012: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=4470293
Sep 24, 2011: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=3029771
May 21, 2011: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=2567487
Mar 9, 2011: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=2300599
I run a HR app for SMEs called http://www.staffsquared.com. We're making a comfortable 5 figures each month.
We're reinvesting this income back in the product either in the form of new functionality (paying programmers) or advertising (paying Google Adwords). We've increased our Adwords spend, invested in SEO (on page and off page) and a recent redesign saw a decrease in bounce rate and increase in trial sign up rates.
Our site visit to trial sign up rate for the last five months looks like this:
Our bounce rate for the last five months looks like this:
So both of those top end of the funnel stats are moving in the right direction.
Our free trial to paying customers is the area we're really focussing on at the moment as it's really not high enough. So we're re-targeting accounts that have expired to find out how we can serve them better and tell them about new features. We're also working hard on our onboarding stuff (the type of stuff you'll read patio11 talking about) including more intelligent automated e-mails based on the status of their account at a point in time.
Happy to answer any questions you good people might have where I can...
My fourth app was a larger time investment and gets quite a lot more downloads. It makes no income now, but I'll add In-App Purchases soon.
I'm freelancing for ~45 hours a month to fund this while backpacking all over the world. I should blog about it.
Edit: I put up a LaunchRock page, if you would be interested in a blog about this stuff, leave me your details: http://theoreticalblog.launchrock.com
Unfortunately I'm the sort who is very uncomfortable asking for money, or even advertising on my content (only about 50% of the videos I put out have ads at all, and many of the most popular do not), but at the same time I'd love to have the time & resources to produce more & better content in the future.
Not looking for advice, as my disposition away from revenue is much stronger than my wish to get money, and I've learned that lesson many times, just adding another voice to the thread.
Around $700/mo from a themeforest account.
And the more interesting story, about 4.5k/mo from a cleaning business that i bought.
I will at some point write the story up, but the TL:DR is:Spotted vastly under valued cleaning business with complete staff.Turnover of previous owner 190k a year.Profit of previous owner 18k. Yup, 18k....Bought it for 13.5k.
Still in the early stages and still changing things but the previous owner was/is in massive debt, little free time to put into the business, did EVERYTHING on paper/fax/phone and had enormous monthly costs.
Theres a much longer story to this but i'll write it up in a few months when its a bit more proven.
For me, I make submissions when I find something interesting rather than trending. Whatever moderate traction those stories receive tends to come from submitting at off peak times - weekends and late night US time.
But the first criteria are always the relevance of the article and quality.
I wrote a more detailed blog post that explains how this works, but the core concept is as follows.
Assuming you want your HN submission to reach the front page, then its important to post at times when scores on the new page are relatively high compared to the front page.
This assumes your goal is to reach the front page. I dont actually know how many people skim over the new links, but its fairly obvious that a far greater number of people only look at the first 30 links on the home page.
For the purposes of discussion, Im going to assume a very simplistic model of the HN front page: new stories with more points will outrank older stories with less points. That is, Im ignoring any effects existing karma has on a users submission and any factors related to when a story gets upvotes. If we assume that a new story needs to get more points than an existing story in order to replace it on the front page, then the following is straightforward: - Its a good time to submit when scores on the front page are low. If the lowest-ranked story has 10 points, it will be much easier to replace than if the lowest-ranked story has 100 points. - Its a good time to post when scores on the new page are high. If the highest-ranked story on the new page only has 2 points, it doesnt seem likely that your submission will fare much better.
I'm guessing that most people check HN first thing in the morning.
If you are interested in health startups, Health 2.0 is in Santa Clara this year, and some events are free:http://www.health2con.com/events/conferences/seventh-annual-...
news:yc shows me 5 submissions per screen, and the description of each submission includes age, number of comments, points, and submitter username. (I could probably do without the points -- the rest I need.)
I don't care for comment threads to be collapsed by default. Especially when I open one comment thread, I have to then keep touching again to see further subcomments -- that doesn't work for me.
Thanks for the free trial. I wouldn't have tried it otherwise.
And thanks for building another HN client. I don't really care much for any of the ones I've tried. What I'd really like is the Alien Blue reddit client for HN.
Do you intend to broaden the payment's to include bitcoin or similar?
There are companies and individuals that make a living from commissions paid by employees for getting the job, and there are probably individuals that would benefit from getting paid career consultancy, but when the competition is free at the point of sale it's not an easy market to get into.
In order to be successful you will probably require me not to leave the new job for at least 6-12 months. That can be an expensive term to have because of the risk being stuck in some crappy workplace, the risk of missing better opportunities and some other more subtle limitations that costs me money. That can drive your cut down significantly. On the other hand if you have premium companies like Google, you can claim a bigger cut and it's still a good deal.
So I do headhunting for both sides. I get paid a commission from the company for finding them great talent(I use already established connections of mine so I already know if they are a good fit for the job or not), and the person that gets hired pays me a commission for finding them a job.
It's typically 20% of their monthly salary for 6 months from both sides.
Good deal for a person to make some extra cash on the side of whatever they do already, and they have time to do so.
If you look at it from the perspective of the employee, it's quite possibly their biggest single expense all year. 20-30% of salary is common. It's easy to see why recruiters are paranoid about getting stiffed by the hiring company.
Unfortunately, it also puts you at a disadvantage when negotiating with the hiring company. The next guy who applied for the same job but didn't have to go through the recruiter would cost the company the same even if they earned 20% larger checks.
Still, as bad as recruiters are, the companies themselves are worse, by and large.
Open-source wise, there's Tsung:http://tsung.erlang-projects.org/
Also Zaarly, Docracy, and Banjo.
Getting a full time rails developer will be hard initially if not impossible.
I have been trying to get a junior position but no luck yet.
1) How much money do you need to get round per month.
2) Add a chunk ontop of that for unforseen expenses, broken fridge for example...
3) How long do you estimate you'll be working on your project?
4) Add a large percentage to that estimate for unexpected issues
5) Will you need to make investments? Hardware? Designers? Calculate these figures.
6) Add a month (or 2) to the above, if your project fails to start making revenue, you'll need to find yourself a job - well, depending on how easy it is for you to find a good job...
It's an amount you need to calculate. Don't underestimate.
Then you're ready to roll.
At least 5-8x that in an HSA, 401k, SEP, IRAs, Roth IRAs and tax-advantaged government bonds paying 7.5% that I bought a few months after I cashed out of the Janus fund in Dec 1999. (My broker fired me for that)
I'm going to hold on to those bonds as long as I can, and I'd much rather borrow against the equity of the "home" I own at a lower rate. (I bought the home in cash, so this is my "first" mortgage -- I opened the account when I wanted some capital to take a chance at buying an adjoining property at a tax auction.)
One of the first things I did when I quit was write a check from the heloc to the HSA so I wouldn't have to think about making contributions for it.
It's a little more complex than that because I have two houses on one large lot and my wife's riding academy and the rental income creates a financial situation that's so sweet it's almost a scam. I think last year I got $16k of rent, experienced a positive cashflow of around $14k from it, but the IRS says we made $4.5k of income because of depreciation on our property.
(I have no idea why anybody buys a single family house; as much as muggles make a big deal of the mortgage interest deduction, owning a duplex means you can write off half the principal plus you get a cash flow to help w/ the mortgage and property taxes. Maybe you even get a cool neighbor.)
One key to making this work is that I can get a high deductible health insurance plan through COBRA for $500 a month and that will tide me through until Obamacare comes unless the Republicans defund it. That's important because there really isn't any such thing as individual health insurance in NY. (I'd better write that letter to my Republican congressman before I forget.)
Anyhow, it isn't all roses. I pay $4k a year in taxes for a "persistently dangerous" school that my son goes to where probably 1/2 of the parents w/ college educations don't send their kids to because they homeschool. They haven't had a principal last more than two years so long as I know.
The internet sucks out here too. Github works OK, but it took 30 seconds to create a trouble ticket with the off-brand project management software at my last job, which was one of the reasons I quit. Netflix and Amazon instant video work, but I can't really watch Youtube. I used to use Flickr a lot, but with the latest update it is so slow I can't even use my own photographs when I make a presentation because it takes 1 minute+ to load.
I don't know if it matters but this was in 2000 (and not in SV/SF). I was doing IT/help desk for a UPS call center with a few servers and 75 workstations (on a token ring network!).
We had been doing educational software in our spare time. We landed a couple decent contracts and I decided to quit and go for it (I was also a senior at Cal Poly and quit). At the time, my rent was $400/month and I wasn't married. We found an office for $250/month.
Of course 18 months later things got real tight. After the .com crash, a lot of california colleges got their budgets cut. But we survived long enough to sell the company at the same time a new one started and took off.
I'm sure there's lots of sound advice here and my story shouldn't be a model.
I haven't had a real job since and I'm still a senior ;)
No regrets though. The last 4 years have been a lot of fun. :)
As others have said - you need to learn to live cheaply. Savings dwindles amazingly fast when you have no income.
Personally, I dropped my cell phone & cable TV, and got rid of my car. It took about 3 years to get back to "normal" - would never have made it without slashing expenses.
1 year later and still going strong!
When doing financial planning you should always try to save up to 6 months of all expenses. This is hard to achieve but the recommended number even if you are staying at your industry job. You never know what can happen.
My advice is to start looking for work before you leave your industry job - think if it as though you're doing lean testing on your product, except your product is yourself. If you can't find clients while at your day job, then iterate on yourself (website, services offered, your client pitch, how you're looking for clients, etc) and try again.
There should be a formula that includes terms for age, likely earning potential on re-entry to job market, savings, debt, assets (like a paid-off house), % completion of the start-up project you're leaving for, monthly influx from startup project when you quit, etc., etc. The formula would pop out a single number, the Gutsy Factor.
In addition to all of that, I had zero debt.
That said, I think there is a similar concept to the Minimum Viable Product that I'll call "Minimum Acceptable Savings". If you're going out on your own, your job is to Figure it Out. You need enough to be able to start figuring it out, but any more than that and you're stalling the move and ultimately falling behind.
Don't be scared to sell your couch, y'know?
If I had to do it again, I'd make sure I had at least one year's salary. Several people have asked, "How is that possible to do?" I wouldn't have been able to do it at the time. Well, all I can say is that it gets much easier as you get older and get better jobs with stock options that are worth something, and if you've been saving for a decade or more. If you're just starting out, it's a lot harder if you aren't incredibly lucky. (Although you also have fewer repercussions if you mess it up.)
Second time: about a year's salary in savings, and I had enough revenue to live on by the time I quit my day job. I was probably overly cautious, but my wife was pregnant and I didn't want to blow it.
Pretty ironic to be talking about this today, because this is a year to the day I left my day job. I still can say it was the best thing I ever did.
negotiating a $15k consulting project
several other potential projects in early talks
Remember that runway = cash/burn_rate. Lowering burn rate was a key enabler: I was able to find a rent-free living situation for a few months and that put me over the edge to quit. I also have a nice safety valve in that at the end of the runway, I don't crash and burn, I walk right back into an industry job.
Because my burn rate is much lower than my former 6.5k/mo industry pay rate, I expect this to go much further than the 3 months pay I have in savings. That said, I'm being conservative and would only commit myself to 3mo terms at the longest for office/rent.
I don't claim to know anything about the sufficiency here, it was just my best guess. Comments welcome :-)
* There are no guarantees, but I received 3 offers @80k+ in 1mo of searching, so I like my odds. On a related note, always prefer data like this to a gut feel of your employability.
(throwaway -- don't need prospective clients seeing my financials)
I could survive on $2,000 per month.
i should make some of those before i quit my industry job... although i was hoping i would get up and running on the side, and not needing any other peoples money...
i might quit after something takes off enough to need full time attention. :)
In general, if you want to learn a new language, pick a project of limited scope (weeks) that you have done in the past in some other language.
A database is a bad choice. Even the simplest database worth being called a database requires months of effort.
If you want to get comfortable with a language that you are learning my advice would be to pick a simple real-world problem and to try to solve that rather than to tackle a major project like this. That will only cause frustration in the long run.
1. You need to store all your data in "pages". These are fixed-length blocks (that can be chained together).
2. Use a classical "dictionary" data structure to store your index (most use B-Tree), but you place that structure on-disk instead of in-memory. Your index basically points a key to the index of the first page that contains the value.
3. You may need to store other types of data in the file, such as the free page list.
As for geo-location, B-Tree fits nicely here.
1. Intelligently lay out your B-Tree so that nearby nodes are typically within the same node-family-system. Include information about the distance spanned by descendants in the tree (you probably want to use Manhatten distance).
2. When trying to do "near" queries, first locate the node you are interested in and then start traversing up the parents until you find the ancestor that encompasses the distance you are looking for.
3. Grab all the descendants of that ancestor and re-check them against the distance.
Start with downloading the source code for say MariaDB, reading internals documentation on project Wiki, compiling it on your machine.
Production-ready, simple, written by you: pick 2. The 'correct' thing to do is choose the first two. Have at it.
Now, C is a shotgun that you will invariably use to shoot yourself in the foot with, but I think it's absolutely straightforward and powerful manual memory management, as well as raw speed, would make it worth learning.
Like, you could for example just focus on building a database of a given size, in memory -- you could even do it all in RAM, if you wanted.
You could have the database specialize in holding one kind of data structure (for example, how about tries? they're pretty rare, despite how useful they are)
Start with something very simple - maybe a single table with a hardcoded schema, or a simple string key/value store (a la memcached). Find a use case for which this is an improvement over what you had before. Add features as and when you need them.
"How much recurring income do you generate, and from what?"
I make nothing.How I do it? It's fairly complex.
Step 1: Build a kickass website, take 6 months
Step 2: Deal with Paypal
Step 3: Rework
Step 4: Deal with Paypal
Step 5: Launch
Step 6: Recurring Step. Post Blog post, spam your FB friends until you lose them.
Step 7: It's built and they don't come.
Step 8: Move onto next idea? Or repeat Step 6/7 until you're ready to move on...
1. If you are passionate, show it. If you want to work in the security industry you have to really nerd out on this stuff and not treat it like a day job that "pays the bills".
2. Don't BS about technical answers. If you don't know the answer to something, that is OK. A good interviewer would rather you walk them through the steps you would take to find the answer than completely make one up. Big no-no.
3. I don't know what position you are applying for but you should be expected to know some basics about attack vectors, defenses, security strategies, and general computing. Brush up on your scripting skills while you are at it. Python is my language of choice. Bash scripting is also highly desired.
4. Don't regurgitate a list of tools you know. Pick a few that you have used and explain how you used them..anyone can run an Nmap scan but what do the results mean?
5. Be friendly and approachable. This goes with any job interview but just a reminder.
6. Don't stress it too much. It's impossible to anticipate every little detail of every question that will be asked. Be yourself and most of all, be curious.
Hope this helps! Feel free to PM me with specifics and GOOD LUCK! Hope too see ya at the next con.
Don't tell them anything they don't need to know. Don't join their WiFi. Don't share information about the organizations you have worked with in the past.
That's and make sure you are familiar with the concepts of OpSec.
Typically in a 30 minute interview the extent of the technical questions are going to be limited to concepts not practice. I can't imagine a 30 minute interview will require you to setup a firewall, or configure a router.
Our particular domain is edible insects; we wrote this article about why entrepreneurs should get involved:
Conclusion? There's going to be a lot of energetic, healthy people with time on their hands -- even more than at present. So there will be many future opportunities in the areas of entertainment, computer games and travel.
Also, on the medical front, because psychiatry and psychology are in the midst of a historic meltdown, in the future society will increasingly look to neuroscience for guidance about the issues that psychiatrists and psychologists are mishandling right now. My favorite example showing what the possibilities may be, is the story of a severely depressed woman who didn't respond to the available anti-depression drugs and was finally institutionalized, her life essentially over.
But a new procedure has come out of brain research (not mind research) called deep brain stimulation, that shows great promise for addressing depression's cause, rather than its symptoms (the present treatment approach).
In this specific case, after electrodes were put in place, the neurosurgeon threw a switch that began stimulation of a location of present neurological research called "area 25" that seems to play a role in depression. The woman's depression lifted instantly -- instantly -- something that no other treatment had been able to accomplish.
This is still very experimental, and the procedure is still too risky for everyday use, but if it matures and is made safe, it will revolutionize the treatment of depression. It will also accelerate the present trend away from psychiatry and psychology toward neuroscience.
Presumably, the ultimate propulsion will be nuclear-boiled water ejected out of a nozzle as steam. I suppose you could do something similar with other low molecular weight (stable bonds), low atomic weight (plentiful in post-stellar debris) fluids, but water's on a sweet spot in terms of caloric density. Hydrocarbons would probably be good, so I suppose you could mine the atmospheres of the gas giants for those. Interstellar travel will involve strapping a reactor to a large iceberg lassoed from the Ort belt and accelerating for one half of the trip, then decelerating for the other half.
Space travel will require space mining (uranium, water, gold, titanium, lithium, etc)
Think of all the things involved: mining equipment, (robots) depots, transport, refueling stations, distribution. SpaceX has already shown vast industries are going to be largely robotic. But people will go to the same places as the mining, because something will always go wrong with something, and those will be the well-developed trade routes.
Those people will have all the same issues they have here. Governance, gambling, hepatitis, surgery. But there will be new issues as well. There will likely be founder effect: segments of humanity will venture off to planets many light years away. It will take decades to get there. How do you maintain the concept of "humanity" if they land on a planet with slightly more gravity, slightly colder, slightly less oxygen, so everyone becomes what we would consider a furry dwarf with an IQ of 170?
Synthetic genomics will be big in all sorts of ways, some related to the founder effects of space travel.
We will not travel faster than the speed of light and hibernation is a fiction. Our bodies just aren't made for that. I think this is a thing people haven't started really planning for very well. Interstellar travel is going to involve very large vessels.
but once we do Mars and the asteroid belt, there's not much left in this system.
An aging industry, small margins for the older economic structure of small/medium holdings, little existing use of new technologies at scale.
As the industry demographic shifts and as 'new' technologies such as drones, robotics, remote sensing, pervasive wireless data, vat-grown meat and mixed land/marine farming are adopted there will be a lot of money to be made feeding the world.
I say this because if you look at the last ten years, the rate of births in the age ranges of < 18, 18-35 have been decreasing while the age of women getting pregnant in the 35+ range has been increasing.
The birth rate of the United States is only as high as is now largely because of the immigrant population.
As more women in developed countries choose to have careers and go through higher education, the median age of pregnancies will continue to rise.
You can produce fully custom chips now but at any reasonable cost you have to use decade-old gate sizes making it hard to compete with general purpose parts. The lack of a busy market feeds back into itself making every step of the process more tricky and expensive than it needs to be.
Imagine the change from massive recording studio engineering to 'a laptop with pro tools' only in silicon instead of music.
I'm with a startup called PetroFeed and we're looking to tap into the huge potential in the industry. Most startups in the O&G industry are concerned with building better drilling technologies, or finding new resource pockets; leaving lots of room for companies like ours. ;)
Marijuana, online privacy, personal defense weapons, batteries, patent law.
Ocean mining, fuel and energy, long-distance wireless communications, medicines, education.
Everyone connected and addressed via internet. Eventually everyone personally will have an internet "address" that would combine voice, email etc. when you fill out forms and apply for credit, etc that will be part of your personal identification as well as the primary way to contact you.
Self driving long-haul delivery trucks, probably be accepted quicker than personal cars. Still will be manned initially to handle problems and to dissuade looters, or drive in hard to navigate areas.
With county budgets being stressed and more areas considering converting paved roads to gravel roads, any kind of delivery system that can avoid roads will be a benefit.
99.99% of online educational videos suck. For example, watching the video is so painful that all I can think about is "how do I get out of here?". (Possibly I am spoiled from watching too many popular vlogs on YouTube.)
The other 0.01% of online educational videos that don't suck prove that it is possible to make such videos. The best examples I can find are RailsCasts and "Math Antics" (the first is for grownups, the second is aimed more at children, but I would watch something like Math Antics that had more advanced content).
Education, Medicine, Law, Jobs, Banking, Sins (Most already there), Importation (3d printers).
Health, Space, Robotics and Food imho.
Health, to produce better treatments agaisnt sickness, cure for cancer and other applications like regenerative i guess will be the ones who will coin a lot of dollars, specially from labs.
Space and robotics to produce better transportation, manufacturing and other hardware potential advancements.
Food. The food industry will work for sure o new sintetic food, to mass produce as well to produce safe transgenic meat.
Artificial/in vitro food
-Transportation (if you can find a way to decrease fuel costs)
-Disruptive medicine (traditional drug companies will be making less and less money, but companies that develop cheaper cures to common world-wide ailments will be extremely successful)
Basically, things that are necessities for living. Media/entertainment will become an increasingly zero-sum game.
Space travel - I'd love to predict fortunes in it, but it's still a wildcard and a dream.
Much the home will be automated, includes search and storage and cleaning. It will get smaller, lose the need for a garage, and be easier to lease out, reconfigure, move, replicate.
Self-treatments on demand: someday, you wont need to go in a doctor office for diagnoses, medical check-ups and treatments.
"Space is where the first trillionaires will be made"
The world energy industry needs to be very substantially reworked otherwise there's a high chance that many (most) of us (or subsequent generations) will die.
There are massive fossil incumbents who will be displaced.
I'd say energy.
I think google is years ahead of everyone else here, and it will be a product that will be high price, high margin. And the market is huge.
I really don't see how google could walk away from that one without gobs of cash in their pockets.
Fulfillment will be a place for fortunes to be made, as it always has been. Amazon has been executing exceedingly well in this area but it's not as though everyone else has been sitting on their ass. Over the next decades the sort of smart, high-tech, low latency fulfillment that we've come to associate with Amazon will be the worldwide standard anywhere and everywhere. Also look for infrastructural improvements along those lines. It used to be that people had visions of pneumatic tubes running everywhere. But consider some variations on that theme, a fully automated delivery system that could route standard sized containers across cities, continents, or maybe even the world. Maybe autonomous vehicles could play into that, but it seems as though building custom infrastructure would also provide a substantial RoI. Imagine how different the world would be if every housing structure had a 1m^3 "mail box" that you could receive packages in or send packages from which would immediately deliver them anywhere in the system 24/7 without human intervention. Economics changes a lot, consumerism changes a lot, industry changes a lot, and so on.
Fully automated manufacturing and configurable manufacturing. These may not replace all manufacturing but they seem likely to me to become a "big deal", and people will make a lot of money off them. Imagine if you could go to a web page upload a bunch of plans (3D models, wiring diagrams, etc.) and place an order for a factory to manufacture something you've designed. This is more than just the home manufacturing (3D printing et al) revolution, it's something on an entirely different scale. Imagine how this sort of thing would affect the cost of production of material goods. Imagine how it would affect the iteration speed as well. And think about how it would affect the mass production society we've grown accustomed to. What happens when a designer can produce a batch of a few hundred or a few thousand custom designed smartphones or what-have-you? Instead of everyone buying from a small pool of mass produced goods does the market change to focus more on boutique versions of such things? Do people start buying things that are more customized in functionality? What happens when you create factories that can effectively replicate themselves?
Education is slated to change dramatically over the next decades. Much of the world today lives in areas where formal education is not the norm. As those areas become developed there are education opportunities other than the traditional ones, especially when you consider the widespread abundance of computing devices in the future (see above). There is a huge market for learning software, on a multi-billion dollar per year scale, but a hell of a lot of work will have to go into creating all of that software to make it effective and practical.
Space will be big business too but that can be a bit hard to predict. Through the 21st century the cost of launching things into space will drop by at least a factor of 10 if not a factor of 100 or more. That will cause an exponential increase in the amount of stuff and people we put in orbit which will create substantial off-Earth economic activity which will gain momentum due to positive feedback effects. By 2100 I'd expect millions of people to be living off-Earth and trillions of dollars in revenue to be involved in off-Earth commerce and industry. This starts to get really interesting when you consider what sort of potential advantages building things in space might have. Obviously it makes it easier to test spacecraft, of course, since you have access to the environment they'll operate in right there. But there are also some other interesting aspects. Vacuum is abundant and easy to get at. As is zero-g or nearly any level of g-forces you desire. A lot of manufacturing processes would be very different if vacuum conditions were cheap and easy to get at.
Full disclosure, we do a lot of software development as a product development firm, and are developing a number of our own products. We fully recognize we suck at some things and excel at many others. My comment history probably demonstrates that. Reach out if you have interest, we evaluate everyone as an individual on their merits not degrees.
Yes. One of wordpress' strengths is its theme system. You can find a number of existing themes which are ready to make 'child themes' out of (I suggest looking at Responsive or even 2012.)
Bear in mind there's nothing you can do to keep someone from viewing the source and seeing it's a wordpress site.
>What's the flexibility of adding new features if I the frontend is redesigned?
You have a functions.php to build whatever hooks you need into the API for that particular theme, and plugins are basically global applications which can do anything. The API can be a bit arcane but there's a very good chance whatever problem you have has already been covered in an existing theme or plugin. I would be willing to bet that for what you describe, 100% could be handled with existing plugins, and 90% of the rest by creating a child theme and tweaking. This is honestly what Wordpress was meant for.
>Is it a better idea to hire out and let someone else pick all the plugins and put it together?
I would say it depends on the amount of work you want done, in regards to customization of the theme and custom plugins.
>Can you give me a recommendation on would could build such a thing for me, or would it be cheaper to do myself?
You could do it yourself for free, but looking up documentation and solutions is on you. How comfortable are you with horrible looking mixin PHP? Do yourself a favor though, whatever you do: look up "hardening wordpress", apply what you learn and turn off theme editing through the UI.
You can make WordPress look like anything. It is PHP, so if you want you can have a page that is mostly a web App and just use WordPress for the content blocks on the page, but that wouldn't be the most efficient way to do things.
If you have to ask if it would be easier, then it would probably be easier.
Paying for custom design varies wildly. You could spend $50 on a kid in college who may or may not make something awesome. You could spend $50k on a major design studio.
As an SEO I saw both happen.